Recent forecast model runs for Milan show afternoon highs clustered tightly around 25–26°C under clear skies and light easterly flow within a stable high-pressure regime over the Po Valley. Official guidance from multiple sources peaks near 25°C, with some ensembles and hourly projections briefly touching 26°C depending on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. The near-even market split between 25°C and 26°C reflects this narrow spread and typical resolution uncertainty around official station readings, while the low probability assigned to 24°C or 27°C+ aligns with consistent model consensus excluding those outliers. Updated midday observations and final model guidance ahead of peak heating remain the key variables that could shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 12 сентября?
25°C 48%
26°C 45%
24°C 7%
27°C 5%
$16,297 Объем
$16,297 Объем
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C
48%
26°C
45%
27°C
5%
28°C или выше
1%
25°C 48%
26°C 45%
24°C 7%
27°C 5%
$16,297 Объем
$16,297 Объем
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
7%
25°C
48%
26°C
45%
27°C
5%
28°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Milan show afternoon highs clustered tightly around 25–26°C under clear skies and light easterly flow within a stable high-pressure regime over the Po Valley. Official guidance from multiple sources peaks near 25°C, with some ensembles and hourly projections briefly touching 26°C depending on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. The near-even market split between 25°C and 26°C reflects this narrow spread and typical resolution uncertainty around official station readings, while the low probability assigned to 24°C or 27°C+ aligns with consistent model consensus excluding those outliers. Updated midday observations and final model guidance ahead of peak heating remain the key variables that could shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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