Clear skies and light easterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving Madrid's expected maximum temperature toward 31–32°C on September 20, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 60% and 33.5%. Seasonal norms average 25.5°C, but persistent warmth through mid-September—with multiple days exceeding 30°C—reflects above-baseline radiative heating and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Official forecasts from GFS and regional models show afternoon peaks near 30.5–32°C under full insolation, with low humidity aiding efficient surface warming. Traders appear to weigh these conditions against historical records (31.6°C all-time high) while noting limited upside risk from any late-day variability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 20 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 20 сентября?
31°C 60%
32°C 34%
30°C 7%
33°C <1%
$31,571 Объем
$31,571 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
7%
31°C
60%
32°C
34%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
31°C 60%
32°C 34%
30°C 7%
33°C <1%
$31,571 Объем
$31,571 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$5,473 Объем
<1%
26°C
$1,350 Объем
<1%
27°C
$1,625 Объем
<1%
28°C
$663 Объем
<1%
29°C
$1,042 Объем
<1%
30°C
$3,546 Объем
7%
31°C
$6,966 Объем
60%
32°C
$7,475 Объем
34%
33°C
$1,451 Объем
1%
34°C
$808 Объем
<1%
35°C или выше
$1,173 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light easterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving Madrid's expected maximum temperature toward 31–32°C on September 20, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 60% and 33.5%. Seasonal norms average 25.5°C, but persistent warmth through mid-September—with multiple days exceeding 30°C—reflects above-baseline radiative heating and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Official forecasts from GFS and regional models show afternoon peaks near 30.5–32°C under full insolation, with low humidity aiding efficient surface warming. Traders appear to weigh these conditions against historical records (31.6°C all-time high) while noting limited upside risk from any late-day variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$31,571Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light easterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving Madrid's expected maximum temperature toward 31–32°C on September 20, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 60% and 33.5%. Seasonal norms average 25.5°C, but persistent warmth through mid-September—with multiple days exceeding 30°C—reflects above-baseline radiative heating and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Official forecasts from GFS and regional models show afternoon peaks near 30.5–32°C under full insolation, with low humidity aiding efficient surface warming. Traders appear to weigh these conditions against historical records (31.6°C all-time high) while noting limited upside risk from any late-day variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$31,571Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light easterly winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving Madrid's expected maximum temperature toward 31–32°C on September 20, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 60% and 33.5%. Seasonal norms average 25.5°C, but persistent warmth through mid-September—with multiple days exceeding 30°C—reflects above-baseline radiative heating and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Official forecasts from GFS and regional models show afternoon peaks near 30.5–32°C under full insolation, with low humidity aiding efficient surface warming. Traders appear to weigh these conditions against historical records (31.6°C all-time high) while noting limited upside risk from any late-day variability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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