Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds for Cape Town on September 22, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes as the market consensus. Easterly flow in the morning hours could enhance daytime heating before a shift to southwesterlies, while scattered cloud development and a low chance of isolated showers introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. These conditions align with spring patterns where brief warm anomalies occur but rarely sustain extreme highs, keeping probabilities for 34°C or above limited. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 22 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 22 сентября?
32°C 29%
34°C 26%
33°C 25%
31°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
7%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
13%
31°C
21%
32°C
29%
33°C
25%
34°C
26%
35°C
4%
36°C или выше
4%
32°C 29%
34°C 26%
33°C 25%
31°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$14 Объем
7%
27°C
$0 Объем
3%
28°C
$0 Объем
8%
29°C
$0 Объем
11%
30°C
$6 Объем
13%
31°C
$6 Объем
21%
32°C
$85 Объем
29%
33°C
$101 Объем
25%
34°C
$0 Объем
26%
35°C
$0 Объем
4%
36°C или выше
$0 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds for Cape Town on September 22, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes as the market consensus. Easterly flow in the morning hours could enhance daytime heating before a shift to southwesterlies, while scattered cloud development and a low chance of isolated showers introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. These conditions align with spring patterns where brief warm anomalies occur but rarely sustain extreme highs, keeping probabilities for 34°C or above limited. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$206Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds for Cape Town on September 22, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes as the market consensus. Easterly flow in the morning hours could enhance daytime heating before a shift to southwesterlies, while scattered cloud development and a low chance of isolated showers introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. These conditions align with spring patterns where brief warm anomalies occur but rarely sustain extreme highs, keeping probabilities for 34°C or above limited. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$206Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate partly cloudy skies and light variable winds for Cape Town on September 22, supporting trader emphasis on 31–33°C outcomes as the market consensus. Easterly flow in the morning hours could enhance daytime heating before a shift to southwesterlies, while scattered cloud development and a low chance of isolated showers introduce uncertainty around the exact peak. These conditions align with spring patterns where brief warm anomalies occur but rarely sustain extreme highs, keeping probabilities for 34°C or above limited. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine the maximum temperature range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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