Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Chicago on April 27, driven by official National Weather Service observations at O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the resolution station, which recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F at 5:51 PM local time. This measurement from the automated surface observing system aligns with post-event data releases confirming partly cloudy skies, windy conditions with gusts to 36 mph, and no precipitation, slightly above the climatological average high of around 64°F for late April. While final daily climatological summaries rarely revise ASOS readings, a realistic challenge could arise from an official data audit uncovering sensor issues or quality control adjustments, though such corrections are exceedingly uncommon after initial validation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on April 27?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 27?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$261,847 Объем
$261,847 Объем
27 апр. 2026 г.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$261,847 Объем
$261,847 Объем
27 апр. 2026 г.
53°F or below
$29,589 Объем
No
54-55°F
$2,740 Объем
No
56-57°F
$38,299 Объем
No
58-59°F
$30,455 Объем
No
60-61°F
$30,077 Объем
No
62-63°F
$20,607 Объем
No
64-65°F
$20,304 Объем
No
66-67°F
$23,385 Объем
No
68-69°F
$35,531 Объем
Yes
70-71°F
$15,401 Объем
No
72°F or higher
$15,460 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Chicago on April 27, driven by official National Weather Service observations at O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the resolution station, which recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F at 5:51 PM local time. This measurement from the automated surface observing system aligns with post-event data releases confirming partly cloudy skies, windy conditions with gusts to 36 mph, and no precipitation, slightly above the climatological average high of around 64°F for late April. While final daily climatological summaries rarely revise ASOS readings, a realistic challenge could arise from an official data audit uncovering sensor issues or quality control adjustments, though such corrections are exceedingly uncommon after initial validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 25, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Объем
$261,847Дата окончания
27 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 25, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Chicago on April 27, driven by official National Weather Service observations at O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the resolution station, which recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F at 5:51 PM local time. This measurement from the automated surface observing system aligns with post-event data releases confirming partly cloudy skies, windy conditions with gusts to 36 mph, and no precipitation, slightly above the climatological average high of around 64°F for late April. While final daily climatological summaries rarely revise ASOS readings, a realistic challenge could arise from an official data audit uncovering sensor issues or quality control adjustments, though such corrections are exceedingly uncommon after initial validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$261,847Дата окончания
27 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 25, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Chicago on April 27, driven by official National Weather Service observations at O'Hare International Airport (KORD), the resolution station, which recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F at 5:51 PM local time. This measurement from the automated surface observing system aligns with post-event data releases confirming partly cloudy skies, windy conditions with gusts to 36 mph, and no precipitation, slightly above the climatological average high of around 64°F for late April. While final daily climatological summaries rarely revise ASOS readings, a realistic challenge could arise from an official data audit uncovering sensor issues or quality control adjustments, though such corrections are exceedingly uncommon after initial validation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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