National Weather Service model consensus and recent runs indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass will reach Chicago on August 1, 2026, driven by northerly flow behind a departing front and limited daytime heating under increasing clouds. This has shifted trader-implied odds toward the 70–73 °F range as the most probable outcome, well below the 1991–2020 August 1 climatological high of 84 °F. Key differentiating factors include lake-breeze moderation along the shoreline, potential for partial cloud cover reducing insolation, and uncertainty in exact frontal timing that could allow brief warming if winds turn more westerly. Official forecast updates from the Chicago NWS office through tonight will provide the final guidance ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 1 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 1 августа?
72-73°F 40%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 17%
68–69°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 авг. 2026 г.
63°F или ниже
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
4%
68–69°F
11%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
1%
82°F или выше
1%
72-73°F 40%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 17%
68–69°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 авг. 2026 г.
63°F или ниже
$16 Объем
1%
64-65°F
$120 Объем
4%
66-67°F
$20 Объем
4%
68–69°F
$73 Объем
11%
70-71°F
$35 Объем
24%
72-73°F
$124 Объем
40%
74-75°F
$10 Объем
17%
76-77°F
$21 Объем
6%
78-79°F
$15 Объем
3%
80-81°F
$30 Объем
1%
82°F или выше
$15 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service model consensus and recent runs indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass will reach Chicago on August 1, 2026, driven by northerly flow behind a departing front and limited daytime heating under increasing clouds. This has shifted trader-implied odds toward the 70–73 °F range as the most probable outcome, well below the 1991–2020 August 1 climatological high of 84 °F. Key differentiating factors include lake-breeze moderation along the shoreline, potential for partial cloud cover reducing insolation, and uncertainty in exact frontal timing that could allow brief warming if winds turn more westerly. Official forecast updates from the Chicago NWS office through tonight will provide the final guidance ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$478Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service model consensus and recent runs indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass will reach Chicago on August 1, 2026, driven by northerly flow behind a departing front and limited daytime heating under increasing clouds. This has shifted trader-implied odds toward the 70–73 °F range as the most probable outcome, well below the 1991–2020 August 1 climatological high of 84 °F. Key differentiating factors include lake-breeze moderation along the shoreline, potential for partial cloud cover reducing insolation, and uncertainty in exact frontal timing that could allow brief warming if winds turn more westerly. Official forecast updates from the Chicago NWS office through tonight will provide the final guidance ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$478Дата окончания
1 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service model consensus and recent runs indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass will reach Chicago on August 1, 2026, driven by northerly flow behind a departing front and limited daytime heating under increasing clouds. This has shifted trader-implied odds toward the 70–73 °F range as the most probable outcome, well below the 1991–2020 August 1 climatological high of 84 °F. Key differentiating factors include lake-breeze moderation along the shoreline, potential for partial cloud cover reducing insolation, and uncertainty in exact frontal timing that could allow brief warming if winds turn more westerly. Official forecast updates from the Chicago NWS office through tonight will provide the final guidance ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы