Recent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 2, 2026, which is the main driver capping trader-implied odds near 28–29°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while convective showers enhance evaporative cooling in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. Official guidance shows daily maxima around 29°C amid 24°C overnight lows, consistent with seasonal climatology where July–August averages reach 30–32°C but precipitation frequently suppresses extremes. Model consensus favors this range over higher outcomes, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30–31°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 2 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 2 августа?
28°C 30%
27°C 25%
29°C 25%
26°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
25%
28°C
30%
29°C
25%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C или выше
1%
28°C 30%
27°C 25%
29°C 25%
26°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$12 Объем
<1%
24°C
$10 Объем
4%
25°C
$32 Объем
6%
26°C
$12 Объем
11%
27°C
$12 Объем
25%
28°C
$12 Объем
30%
29°C
$12 Объем
25%
30°C
$12 Объем
6%
31°C
$51 Объем
6%
32°C
$112 Объем
2%
33°C или выше
$31 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 2, 2026, which is the main driver capping trader-implied odds near 28–29°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while convective showers enhance evaporative cooling in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. Official guidance shows daily maxima around 29°C amid 24°C overnight lows, consistent with seasonal climatology where July–August averages reach 30–32°C but precipitation frequently suppresses extremes. Model consensus favors this range over higher outcomes, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30–31°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$305Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 2, 2026, which is the main driver capping trader-implied odds near 28–29°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while convective showers enhance evaporative cooling in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. Official guidance shows daily maxima around 29°C amid 24°C overnight lows, consistent with seasonal climatology where July–August averages reach 30–32°C but precipitation frequently suppresses extremes. Model consensus favors this range over higher outcomes, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30–31°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$305Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 2, 2026, which is the main driver capping trader-implied odds near 28–29°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while convective showers enhance evaporative cooling in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. Official guidance shows daily maxima around 29°C amid 24°C overnight lows, consistent with seasonal climatology where July–August averages reach 30–32°C but precipitation frequently suppresses extremes. Model consensus favors this range over higher outcomes, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30–31°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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