Recent forecast models for Seoul and Incheon show typical midsummer conditions with overnight lows near 23–26°C, yet the tightly matched 45% market-implied odds on 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in minimum temperature projections for August 2. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 75–80%, and potential light precipitation that can suppress or enhance radiative cooling overnight. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how steering patterns and local urban heat effects create divergence between runs, keeping trader sentiment balanced until updated model data or real-time observations narrow the range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 2 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 2 августа?
26°C 53%
27°C 31%
25°C 19%
24°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
19%
26°C
53%
27°C
31%
28°C
5%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
26°C 53%
27°C 31%
25°C 19%
24°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$25 Объем
2%
23°C
$98 Объем
3%
24°C
$211 Объем
9%
25°C
$91 Объем
19%
26°C
$182 Объем
53%
27°C
$126 Объем
31%
28°C
$145 Объем
5%
29°C
$25 Объем
4%
30°C
$66 Объем
1%
31°C
$66 Объем
<1%
32°C или выше
$266 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Seoul and Incheon show typical midsummer conditions with overnight lows near 23–26°C, yet the tightly matched 45% market-implied odds on 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in minimum temperature projections for August 2. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 75–80%, and potential light precipitation that can suppress or enhance radiative cooling overnight. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how steering patterns and local urban heat effects create divergence between runs, keeping trader sentiment balanced until updated model data or real-time observations narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,299Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Seoul and Incheon show typical midsummer conditions with overnight lows near 23–26°C, yet the tightly matched 45% market-implied odds on 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in minimum temperature projections for August 2. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 75–80%, and potential light precipitation that can suppress or enhance radiative cooling overnight. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how steering patterns and local urban heat effects create divergence between runs, keeping trader sentiment balanced until updated model data or real-time observations narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,299Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Seoul and Incheon show typical midsummer conditions with overnight lows near 23–26°C, yet the tightly matched 45% market-implied odds on 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in minimum temperature projections for August 2. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 75–80%, and potential light precipitation that can suppress or enhance radiative cooling overnight. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how steering patterns and local urban heat effects create divergence between runs, keeping trader sentiment balanced until updated model data or real-time observations narrow the range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы