Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations showing current readings at 29°C (84°F) mid-morning, with AccuWeather and BBC forecasts projecting peaks around 31°C under mostly cloudy but warm conditions. This reflects persistent early May warmth, following yesterday's 31°C high, amplified by the city's basin topography trapping solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening cloud cover suppressing peaks below 29°C—low-probability scenarios per model ensembles—but official daily summaries expected tomorrow will confirm resolution based on verified station maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 6?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 6?
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$43,580 Объем
$43,580 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
Yes
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$43,580 Объем
$43,580 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
19°C or below
$5,771 Объем
No
20°C
$4,385 Объем
No
21°C
$2,074 Объем
No
22°C
$2,534 Объем
No
23°C
$2,839 Объем
No
24°C
$2,642 Объем
No
25°C
$4,534 Объем
No
26°C
$4,487 Объем
No
27°C
$5,159 Объем
No
28°C
$4,640 Объем
No
29°C or higher
$4,517 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations showing current readings at 29°C (84°F) mid-morning, with AccuWeather and BBC forecasts projecting peaks around 31°C under mostly cloudy but warm conditions. This reflects persistent early May warmth, following yesterday's 31°C high, amplified by the city's basin topography trapping solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening cloud cover suppressing peaks below 29°C—low-probability scenarios per model ensembles—but official daily summaries expected tomorrow will confirm resolution based on verified station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Объем
$43,580Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations showing current readings at 29°C (84°F) mid-morning, with AccuWeather and BBC forecasts projecting peaks around 31°C under mostly cloudy but warm conditions. This reflects persistent early May warmth, following yesterday's 31°C high, amplified by the city's basin topography trapping solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening cloud cover suppressing peaks below 29°C—low-probability scenarios per model ensembles—but official daily summaries expected tomorrow will confirm resolution based on verified station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$43,580Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations showing current readings at 29°C (84°F) mid-morning, with AccuWeather and BBC forecasts projecting peaks around 31°C under mostly cloudy but warm conditions. This reflects persistent early May warmth, following yesterday's 31°C high, amplified by the city's basin topography trapping solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening cloud cover suppressing peaks below 29°C—low-probability scenarios per model ensembles—but official daily summaries expected tomorrow will confirm resolution based on verified station maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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