Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicates a daily maximum of 15–16°C in Helsinki on September 18 under persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with a low-pressure system over northern Scandinavia. These conditions limit diurnal heating while preventing significant radiative cooling, producing a narrow temperature range consistent with late-September climatology. Minor model spread in timing of heaviest precipitation and wind gusts creates the modest uncertainty reflected in the 60% market-implied probability for 16°C versus 39.5% for 15°C; updated high-resolution runs and official FMI briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Хельсинки 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Хельсинки 18 сентября?
16°C 60%
15°C 40%
17°C 3%
14°C 2%
НОВОЕ
$10,022 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,022 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
40%
16°C
60%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
16°C 60%
15°C 40%
17°C 3%
14°C 2%
НОВОЕ
$10,022 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,022 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$495 Объем
<1%
10°C
$474 Объем
<1%
11°C
$673 Объем
<1%
12°C
$614 Объем
<1%
13°C
$965 Объем
1%
14°C
$905 Объем
2%
15°C
$1,700 Объем
40%
16°C
$2,620 Объем
60%
17°C
$986 Объем
3%
18°C
$455 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$135 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicates a daily maximum of 15–16°C in Helsinki on September 18 under persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with a low-pressure system over northern Scandinavia. These conditions limit diurnal heating while preventing significant radiative cooling, producing a narrow temperature range consistent with late-September climatology. Minor model spread in timing of heaviest precipitation and wind gusts creates the modest uncertainty reflected in the 60% market-implied probability for 16°C versus 39.5% for 15°C; updated high-resolution runs and official FMI briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$10,022Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicates a daily maximum of 15–16°C in Helsinki on September 18 under persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with a low-pressure system over northern Scandinavia. These conditions limit diurnal heating while preventing significant radiative cooling, producing a narrow temperature range consistent with late-September climatology. Minor model spread in timing of heaviest precipitation and wind gusts creates the modest uncertainty reflected in the 60% market-implied probability for 16°C versus 39.5% for 15°C; updated high-resolution runs and official FMI briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,022Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicates a daily maximum of 15–16°C in Helsinki on September 18 under persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with a low-pressure system over northern Scandinavia. These conditions limit diurnal heating while preventing significant radiative cooling, producing a narrow temperature range consistent with late-September climatology. Minor model spread in timing of heaviest precipitation and wind gusts creates the modest uncertainty reflected in the 60% market-implied probability for 16°C versus 39.5% for 15°C; updated high-resolution runs and official FMI briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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