Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm that the highest temperature on June 4 exceeded 34°C, with the official site reaching at least 34.2°C amid a broader heatwave that produced peaks above 35–36.7°C in multiple districts. This outcome aligns with seasonal forecasts for above-normal temperatures driven by long-term climate warming trends and prevailing atmospheric conditions favoring heat retention. The near-certain market pricing reflects verified observational data rather than models, though minor revisions in final official tallies or station-specific definitions could theoretically affect edge cases near the threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 4?
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$167,521 Объем
$167,521 Объем
4 июн. 2026 г.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
Yes
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$167,521 Объем
$167,521 Объем
4 июн. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$5,676 Объем
No
25°C
$2,193 Объем
No
26°C
$293 Объем
No
27°C
$272 Объем
No
28°C
$293 Объем
No
29°C
$622 Объем
No
30°C
$12,364 Объем
No
31°C
$33,134 Объем
No
32°C
$47,600 Объем
No
33°C
$30,406 Объем
No
34°C or higher
$34,667 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm that the highest temperature on June 4 exceeded 34°C, with the official site reaching at least 34.2°C amid a broader heatwave that produced peaks above 35–36.7°C in multiple districts. This outcome aligns with seasonal forecasts for above-normal temperatures driven by long-term climate warming trends and prevailing atmospheric conditions favoring heat retention. The near-certain market pricing reflects verified observational data rather than models, though minor revisions in final official tallies or station-specific definitions could theoretically affect edge cases near the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$167,521Дата окончания
4 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm that the highest temperature on June 4 exceeded 34°C, with the official site reaching at least 34.2°C amid a broader heatwave that produced peaks above 35–36.7°C in multiple districts. This outcome aligns with seasonal forecasts for above-normal temperatures driven by long-term climate warming trends and prevailing atmospheric conditions favoring heat retention. The near-certain market pricing reflects verified observational data rather than models, though minor revisions in final official tallies or station-specific definitions could theoretically affect edge cases near the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$167,521Дата окончания
4 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm that the highest temperature on June 4 exceeded 34°C, with the official site reaching at least 34.2°C amid a broader heatwave that produced peaks above 35–36.7°C in multiple districts. This outcome aligns with seasonal forecasts for above-normal temperatures driven by long-term climate warming trends and prevailing atmospheric conditions favoring heat retention. The near-certain market pricing reflects verified observational data rather than models, though minor revisions in final official tallies or station-specific definitions could theoretically affect edge cases near the threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы