The market-implied 100% odds on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 30 stem directly from official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that daily maximum. Persistent very hot weather conditions, driven by regional atmospheric patterns and elevated humidity, aligned with model forecasts projecting a peak near this threshold rather than the seasonal average of roughly 28–29°C. Recent data releases from monitoring agencies reinforced this outcome with no significant downward revisions, while cooler monsoon influences remained too weak to alter the result. Minor scenarios such as localized measurement adjustments or unverified microclimate effects could theoretically shift the recorded value, but current observational consensus leaves little room for deviation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 30?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$168,827 Объем
$168,827 Объем
30 мая 2026 г.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$168,827 Объем
$168,827 Объем
30 мая 2026 г.
23°C or below
$4,276 Объем
No
24°C
$1,306 Объем
No
25°C
$441 Объем
No
26°C
$1,223 Объем
No
27°C
$6,673 Объем
No
28°C
$11,244 Объем
No
29°C
$24,434 Объем
No
30°C
$13,804 Объем
No
31°C
$34,422 Объем
No
32°C
$32,671 Объем
Yes
33°C or higher
$38,333 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied 100% odds on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 30 stem directly from official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that daily maximum. Persistent very hot weather conditions, driven by regional atmospheric patterns and elevated humidity, aligned with model forecasts projecting a peak near this threshold rather than the seasonal average of roughly 28–29°C. Recent data releases from monitoring agencies reinforced this outcome with no significant downward revisions, while cooler monsoon influences remained too weak to alter the result. Minor scenarios such as localized measurement adjustments or unverified microclimate effects could theoretically shift the recorded value, but current observational consensus leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 28, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$168,827Дата окончания
30 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied 100% odds on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 30 stem directly from official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that daily maximum. Persistent very hot weather conditions, driven by regional atmospheric patterns and elevated humidity, aligned with model forecasts projecting a peak near this threshold rather than the seasonal average of roughly 28–29°C. Recent data releases from monitoring agencies reinforced this outcome with no significant downward revisions, while cooler monsoon influences remained too weak to alter the result. Minor scenarios such as localized measurement adjustments or unverified microclimate effects could theoretically shift the recorded value, but current observational consensus leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$168,827Дата окончания
30 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The market-implied 100% odds on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 30 stem directly from official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that daily maximum. Persistent very hot weather conditions, driven by regional atmospheric patterns and elevated humidity, aligned with model forecasts projecting a peak near this threshold rather than the seasonal average of roughly 28–29°C. Recent data releases from monitoring agencies reinforced this outcome with no significant downward revisions, while cooler monsoon influences remained too weak to alter the result. Minor scenarios such as localized measurement adjustments or unverified microclimate effects could theoretically shift the recorded value, but current observational consensus leaves little room for deviation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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