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icon for Highest temperature in Houston on May 5?

Highest temperature in Houston on May 5?

icon for Highest temperature in Houston on May 5?

Highest temperature in Houston on May 5?

Ended: мая 5

июл. 19

июл. 20

Ended: мая 5

июл. 19

июл. 20

78°F or higher 100.0%

59°F or below <1%

60-61°F <1%

62-63°F <1%

Polymarket

$62,116 Объем

78°F or higher 100.0%

59°F or below <1%

60-61°F <1%

62-63°F <1%

Polymarket

$62,116 Объем

59°F or below

$552 Объем

No

60-61°F

$916 Объем

No

62-63°F

$678 Объем

No

64-65°F

$3,054 Объем

No

66-67°F

$4,517 Объем

No

68-69°F

$3,250 Объем

No

70-71°F

$4,381 Объем

No

72-73°F

$4,069 Объем

No

74-75°F

$5,221 Объем

No

76-77°F

$15,707 Объем

No

78°F or higher

$19,773 Объем

Yes

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest guidance for Houston projects a high temperature of 84-87°F inland on May 5, fueled by south winds of 5-15 mph ushering warm, moist Gulf air amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated shower chances. Recent model ensembles, including high-resolution runs updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus peaks near 86°F during afternoon hours, far exceeding the 78°F market threshold and aligning with early May climatological norms averaging 85°F. This drives the 100% trader-implied probability for 78°F or higher, backed by morning observations already in the mid-70s°F. Only an unforeseen surge in thunderstorm coverage or wind shift could suppress highs below 78°F, though current outlooks deem this unlikely; track NOAA hourly data and 2 p.m. CDT updates for confirmation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$62,116
Дата окончания
5 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest guidance for Houston projects a high temperature of 84-87°F inland on May 5, fueled by south winds of 5-15 mph ushering warm, moist Gulf air amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated shower chances. Recent model ensembles, including high-resolution runs updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus peaks near 86°F during afternoon hours, far exceeding the 78°F market threshold and aligning with early May climatological norms averaging 85°F. This drives the 100% trader-implied probability for 78°F or higher, backed by morning observations already in the mid-70s°F. Only an unforeseen surge in thunderstorm coverage or wind shift could suppress highs below 78°F, though current outlooks deem this unlikely; track NOAA hourly data and 2 p.m. CDT updates for confirmation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$62,116
Дата окончания
5 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Связанные

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Да
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Houston on May 5?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «78°F or higher» с 100%, за ним следует «59°F or below» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Houston on May 5?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $62.1K с момента запуска рынка May 3, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Houston on May 5?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Houston on May 5?» — «78°F or higher» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «59°F or below» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Houston on May 5?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.