Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 1 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 1 июля?
28°C 100.0%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$37,885 Объем
$37,885 Объем
1 июл. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Да
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C или выше
Нет
28°C 100.0%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$37,885 Объем
$37,885 Объем
1 июл. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$681 Объем
Нет
24°C
$1,231 Объем
Нет
25°C
$1,325 Объем
Нет
26°C
$2,751 Объем
Нет
27°C
$2,507 Объем
Нет
28°C
$11,826 Объем
Да
29°C
$8,079 Объем
Нет
30°C
$3,039 Объем
Нет
31°C
$2,162 Объем
Нет
32°C
$2,012 Объем
Нет
33°C или выше
$2,271 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$37,885Дата окончания
1 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$37,885Дата окончания
1 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C for Istanbul on July 1, 2026, under persistent high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that limit excessive heating. These conditions align with typical early-summer climatology for the region, where average July highs hover around 27–28°C, though brief warm advection could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities emphasizes this narrow range, with limited upside risk from current guidance and no major model divergence or heatwave signals in the latest updates. Resolution will hinge on the official Turkish State Meteorological Service station reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы