Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on a daily maximum near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 5, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly flow off the Black Sea, and mostly clear skies that moderate daytime heating. These conditions match typical early-July climatology, where average highs reach 27–28°C with low precipitation risk and limited warm advection. Slight model spread around this range, plus minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, supports the market-implied concentration on 26°C (40.5%) and adjacent outcomes at 25–27°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours, along with any shifts in regional pressure gradients, remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 5 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 5 июля?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$68,617 Объем
$68,617 Объем
5 июл. 2026 г.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$68,617 Объем
$68,617 Объем
5 июл. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$4,318 Объем
No
24°C
$3,898 Объем
No
25°C
$15,807 Объем
No
26°C
$13,329 Объем
No
27°C
$11,442 Объем
Yes
28°C
$4,286 Объем
No
29°C
$4,179 Объем
No
30°C
$3,859 Объем
No
31°C
$2,586 Объем
No
32°C
$2,433 Объем
No
33°C or higher
$2,478 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on a daily maximum near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 5, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly flow off the Black Sea, and mostly clear skies that moderate daytime heating. These conditions match typical early-July climatology, where average highs reach 27–28°C with low precipitation risk and limited warm advection. Slight model spread around this range, plus minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, supports the market-implied concentration on 26°C (40.5%) and adjacent outcomes at 25–27°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours, along with any shifts in regional pressure gradients, remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$68,617Дата окончания
5 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on a daily maximum near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 5, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly flow off the Black Sea, and mostly clear skies that moderate daytime heating. These conditions match typical early-July climatology, where average highs reach 27–28°C with low precipitation risk and limited warm advection. Slight model spread around this range, plus minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, supports the market-implied concentration on 26°C (40.5%) and adjacent outcomes at 25–27°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours, along with any shifts in regional pressure gradients, remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$68,617Дата окончания
5 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on a daily maximum near 26–28°C for Istanbul on July 5, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly flow off the Black Sea, and mostly clear skies that moderate daytime heating. These conditions match typical early-July climatology, where average highs reach 27–28°C with low precipitation risk and limited warm advection. Slight model spread around this range, plus minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, supports the market-implied concentration on 26°C (40.5%) and adjacent outcomes at 25–27°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours, along with any shifts in regional pressure gradients, remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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