Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 18?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,341 Объем
$38,341 Объем
18 июн. 2026 г.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,341 Объем
$38,341 Объем
18 июн. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$389 Объем
No
20°C
$871 Объем
No
21°C
$1,885 Объем
No
22°C
$3,780 Объем
No
23°C
$10,229 Объем
Yes
24°C
$7,936 Объем
No
25°C
$3,662 Объем
No
26°C
$3,046 Объем
No
27°C
$3,581 Объем
No
28°C
$661 Объем
No
29°C or higher
$2,301 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
Объем
$38,341Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$38,341Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 1:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's June 18 maximum will likely reach 24–26 °C under partly sunny skies and a fresh northeasterly breeze, yet trader consensus heavily favors 23 °C (44.5 % implied probability). This positioning reflects recent model runs showing modest marine influence and afternoon cloud cover suppressing peak heating below seasonal norms of 25–26 °C. Nearby observations and ensemble guidance continue to cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with limited upside risk from stronger continental flow or clearing skies that could push readings to 25 °C or above. Resolution hinges on the official station measurement, with final model updates expected to tighten the range before the daily high is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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