Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 5?
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$94,971 Объем
$94,971 Объем
5 июн. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$94,971 Объем
$94,971 Объем
5 июн. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$17,552 Объем
No
22°C
$26,261 Объем
Yes
23°C
$18,573 Объем
No
24°C
$10,419 Объем
No
25°C
$5,685 Объем
No
26°C
$3,901 Объем
No
27°C
$3,256 Объем
No
28°C
$2,130 Объем
No
29°C
$2,218 Объем
No
30°C
$2,489 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$2,485 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Объем
$94,971Дата окончания
5 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$94,971Дата окончания
5 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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