Current forecast models from sources including the Saudi Meteorological Authority and global ensembles point to a July 11 peak near 37–38 °C under stable subtropical high pressure and moderate northwesterly flow off the Red Sea. Diurnal heating peaks midday with limited cloud cover and sea-surface temperatures near 31 °C moderating extremes while coastal humidity elevates apparent heat. Historical July climatology centers on 37 °C averages with low day-to-day variance absent strong subsidence or Saharan intrusions. The tightly clustered market probabilities around 36–39 °C capture residual model spread in maximum temperature resolution, typical for coastal sites where small steering or moisture shifts can alter the daily high by 1–2 °C before the 11th.