Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 4?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 4?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$48,150 Объем
$48,150 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$48,150 Объем
$48,150 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
29°C or below
$20,561 Объем
No
30°C
$2,434 Объем
No
31°C
$2,750 Объем
No
32°C
$2,464 Объем
No
33°C
$1,492 Объем
No
34°C
$978 Объем
No
35°C
$2,927 Объем
No
36°C
$2,299 Объем
No
37°C
$4,285 Объем
No
38°C
$4,309 Объем
No
39°C or higher
$3,650 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Объем
$48,150Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$48,150Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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