Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on April 20?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 20?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$38,213 Объем
$38,213 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$38,213 Объем
$38,213 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$1,218 Объем
No
26°C
$882 Объем
No
27°C
$1,175 Объем
No
28°C
$1,593 Объем
No
29°C
$2,921 Объем
No
30°C
$2,898 Объем
No
31°C
$5,394 Объем
No
32°C
$7,038 Объем
No
33°C
$3,936 Объем
No
34°C
$6,012 Объем
Yes
35°C or higher
$5,147 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 18, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Объем
$38,213Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:20 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$38,213Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:20 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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