Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models project a daily maximum of 35°C for Karachi on May 25, driven by typical late-May subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit afternoon mixing and cloud development. This aligns with climatological averages near 35–36°C for the period, with no active monsoon surge, sea-breeze moderation, or upper-level disturbance expected to alter the thermal profile. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this consensus, while the 0.1% on 36°C or higher accounts for residual uncertainty in official station readings. Minor deviations could arise from localized measurement timing or brief convective activity, though current guidance shows low likelihood.