Official National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 81–82°F for New York City on August 2, driven by typical late-summer southerly flow and dew points near 70°F that limit extreme heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 82–83°F bin at 46.5% implied probability, while the 29% chance for 84–85°F reflects the National Weather Service’s broader August outlook for above-average temperatures. Model consensus remains stable with minimal spread, though minor adjustments to cloud cover or wind could shift the exact peak within the 80–85°F range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 2 августа?
82-83°F 43%
84-85°F 29%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 4%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 43%
84-85°F 29%
80-81°F 20%
78-79°F 4%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 81–82°F for New York City on August 2, driven by typical late-summer southerly flow and dew points near 70°F that limit extreme heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 82–83°F bin at 46.5% implied probability, while the 29% chance for 84–85°F reflects the National Weather Service’s broader August outlook for above-average temperatures. Model consensus remains stable with minimal spread, though minor adjustments to cloud cover or wind could shift the exact peak within the 80–85°F range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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