Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on August 3 reflects typical early-August conditions shaped by a broad trough of low pressure over the South China Sea, promoting cloudy skies, scattered showers, and modest overnight radiative cooling. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and multi-model consensus indicate near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures, with average August lows near 26–27°C; localized rainfall timing and wind patterns will determine whether the minimum settles at 25°C or dips to 24°C. Minor model spread on cloud cover and precipitation intensity creates the tight spread between these outcomes, while probabilities for 23°C or 26°C+ remain lower absent stronger cooling or clearer skies. Updated short-range forecasts and official minimum readings will refine positioning ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 3 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 3 августа?
25°C 41%
24°C 37%
26°C 18%
23°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
37%
25°C
41%
26°C
18%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
1%
25°C 41%
24°C 37%
26°C 18%
23°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$97 Объем
<1%
22°C
$40 Объем
2%
23°C
$132 Объем
9%
24°C
$133 Объем
37%
25°C
$1,113 Объем
41%
26°C
$149 Объем
18%
27°C
$82 Объем
7%
28°C
$290 Объем
2%
29°C
$70 Объем
<1%
30°C
$55 Объем
<1%
31°C или выше
$371 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on August 3 reflects typical early-August conditions shaped by a broad trough of low pressure over the South China Sea, promoting cloudy skies, scattered showers, and modest overnight radiative cooling. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and multi-model consensus indicate near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures, with average August lows near 26–27°C; localized rainfall timing and wind patterns will determine whether the minimum settles at 25°C or dips to 24°C. Minor model spread on cloud cover and precipitation intensity creates the tight spread between these outcomes, while probabilities for 23°C or 26°C+ remain lower absent stronger cooling or clearer skies. Updated short-range forecasts and official minimum readings will refine positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$2,532Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on August 3 reflects typical early-August conditions shaped by a broad trough of low pressure over the South China Sea, promoting cloudy skies, scattered showers, and modest overnight radiative cooling. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and multi-model consensus indicate near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures, with average August lows near 26–27°C; localized rainfall timing and wind patterns will determine whether the minimum settles at 25°C or dips to 24°C. Minor model spread on cloud cover and precipitation intensity creates the tight spread between these outcomes, while probabilities for 23°C or 26°C+ remain lower absent stronger cooling or clearer skies. Updated short-range forecasts and official minimum readings will refine positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,532Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on August 3 reflects typical early-August conditions shaped by a broad trough of low pressure over the South China Sea, promoting cloudy skies, scattered showers, and modest overnight radiative cooling. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and multi-model consensus indicate near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures, with average August lows near 26–27°C; localized rainfall timing and wind patterns will determine whether the minimum settles at 25°C or dips to 24°C. Minor model spread on cloud cover and precipitation intensity creates the tight spread between these outcomes, while probabilities for 23°C or 26°C+ remain lower absent stronger cooling or clearer skies. Updated short-range forecasts and official minimum readings will refine positioning ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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