Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and local agencies show persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Shenzhen through August 3, limiting solar heating and capping daily highs near 28–29°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, as traders weigh the consensus from numerical weather prediction ensembles against potential brief clearings that could allow 30°C readings. Subtropical monsoon patterns typical for the region in early August further suppress peak temperatures compared to drier historical analogs, with resolution hinging on precise timing of precipitation and any last-minute model shifts before the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 3 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 3 августа?
29°C 31%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
24%
29°C
31%
30°C
22%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C или выше
1%
29°C 31%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$415 Объем
<1%
24°C
$435 Объем
1%
25°C
$198 Объем
2%
26°C
$112 Объем
4%
27°C
$115 Объем
11%
28°C
$95 Объем
24%
29°C
$103 Объем
31%
30°C
$99 Объем
22%
31°C
$209 Объем
12%
32°C
$123 Объем
5%
33°C или выше
$1,754 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and local agencies show persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Shenzhen through August 3, limiting solar heating and capping daily highs near 28–29°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, as traders weigh the consensus from numerical weather prediction ensembles against potential brief clearings that could allow 30°C readings. Subtropical monsoon patterns typical for the region in early August further suppress peak temperatures compared to drier historical analogs, with resolution hinging on precise timing of precipitation and any last-minute model shifts before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$3,659Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and local agencies show persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Shenzhen through August 3, limiting solar heating and capping daily highs near 28–29°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, as traders weigh the consensus from numerical weather prediction ensembles against potential brief clearings that could allow 30°C readings. Subtropical monsoon patterns typical for the region in early August further suppress peak temperatures compared to drier historical analogs, with resolution hinging on precise timing of precipitation and any last-minute model shifts before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,659Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and local agencies show persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity over Shenzhen through August 3, limiting solar heating and capping daily highs near 28–29°C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, as traders weigh the consensus from numerical weather prediction ensembles against potential brief clearings that could allow 30°C readings. Subtropical monsoon patterns typical for the region in early August further suppress peak temperatures compared to drier historical analogs, with resolution hinging on precise timing of precipitation and any last-minute model shifts before the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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