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icon for Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 2 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 2 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 2 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 2 августа?

авг. 1

авг. 2

авг. 1

авг. 2

74-75°F 43%

72-73°F 24%

76-77°F 23%

78-79°F 13%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

74-75°F 43%

72-73°F 24%

76-77°F 23%

78-79°F 13%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

63°F или ниже

$57 Объем

<1%

64-65°F

$60 Объем

1%

66-67°F

$72 Объем

1%

68-69°F

$54 Объем

1%

70-71°F

$36 Объем

6%

72-73°F

$83 Объем

24%

74-75°F

$457 Объем

43%

76-77°F

$55 Объем

23%

78-79°F

$56 Объем

13%

80-81°F

$57 Объем

1%

82°F или выше

$25 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA short-range model guidance points to a stable high-pressure pattern over the Northeast, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting an overnight low in the mid-70s for New York City on August 2. Ensemble consensus from the GFS and ECMWF keeps temperatures above typical late-summer baselines near 72 °F while limiting cooling from radiational effects in the urban heat island. This data drives the 49 % market-implied probability on 74–75 °F as the leading outcome, with the secondary 76–77 °F bin reflecting slight upward model spread. Updated runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine dew-point and boundary-layer forecasts ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,012
Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA short-range model guidance points to a stable high-pressure pattern over the Northeast, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting an overnight low in the mid-70s for New York City on August 2. Ensemble consensus from the GFS and ECMWF keeps temperatures above typical late-summer baselines near 72 °F while limiting cooling from radiational effects in the urban heat island. This data drives the 49 % market-implied probability on 74–75 °F as the leading outcome, with the secondary 76–77 °F bin reflecting slight upward model spread. Updated runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine dew-point and boundary-layer forecasts ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,012
Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Будет ли самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке от 72 до 73°F 1 августа?

Будет ли самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке от 72 до 73°F 1 августа?

68%
Да
icon for Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2?

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2?

43%
icon for Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 1?

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 1?

46%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 2 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «74-75°F» с 43%, за ним следует «72-73°F» с 24%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 43¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 2 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 2 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 2 августа?» — «74-75°F» с 43%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Следующий ближайший исход — «72-73°F» с 24%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 2 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.