Pakistan Meteorological Department observations confirm Karachi's hottest day of 2026 so far on May 4, with maximums reaching 44.1°C amid an intense heatwave driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry continental air advection. Forecasts for May 6 indicate a modest cooldown to 36–38°C per PMD outlooks and global models like ECMWF and GFS, as strengthening sea breezes from the Arabian Sea moderate afternoon peaks and potential afternoon clouds increase. This model spread, compounded by coastal humidity influencing heat index but capping raw temperatures, fuels trader consensus around closely matched 35–37°C outcomes at 20–30% implied probabilities each. New PMD updates and model runs by May 5 could sharpen resolution criteria based on airport station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on May 6?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 6?
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$18,198 Объем
$18,198 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
Yes
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$18,198 Объем
$18,198 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
27°C or below
$506 Объем
No
28°C
$803 Объем
No
29°C
$2,540 Объем
No
30°C
$674 Объем
No
31°C
$573 Объем
No
32°C
$1,423 Объем
No
33°C
$2,440 Объем
No
34°C
$2,496 Объем
No
35°C
$1,958 Объем
No
36°C
$1,937 Объем
No
37°C or higher
$2,847 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department observations confirm Karachi's hottest day of 2026 so far on May 4, with maximums reaching 44.1°C amid an intense heatwave driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry continental air advection. Forecasts for May 6 indicate a modest cooldown to 36–38°C per PMD outlooks and global models like ECMWF and GFS, as strengthening sea breezes from the Arabian Sea moderate afternoon peaks and potential afternoon clouds increase. This model spread, compounded by coastal humidity influencing heat index but capping raw temperatures, fuels trader consensus around closely matched 35–37°C outcomes at 20–30% implied probabilities each. New PMD updates and model runs by May 5 could sharpen resolution criteria based on airport station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 12:25 PM ET
Объем
$18,198Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:25 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department observations confirm Karachi's hottest day of 2026 so far on May 4, with maximums reaching 44.1°C amid an intense heatwave driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry continental air advection. Forecasts for May 6 indicate a modest cooldown to 36–38°C per PMD outlooks and global models like ECMWF and GFS, as strengthening sea breezes from the Arabian Sea moderate afternoon peaks and potential afternoon clouds increase. This model spread, compounded by coastal humidity influencing heat index but capping raw temperatures, fuels trader consensus around closely matched 35–37°C outcomes at 20–30% implied probabilities each. New PMD updates and model runs by May 5 could sharpen resolution criteria based on airport station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$18,198Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:25 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Pakistan Meteorological Department observations confirm Karachi's hottest day of 2026 so far on May 4, with maximums reaching 44.1°C amid an intense heatwave driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry continental air advection. Forecasts for May 6 indicate a modest cooldown to 36–38°C per PMD outlooks and global models like ECMWF and GFS, as strengthening sea breezes from the Arabian Sea moderate afternoon peaks and potential afternoon clouds increase. This model spread, compounded by coastal humidity influencing heat index but capping raw temperatures, fuels trader consensus around closely matched 35–37°C outcomes at 20–30% implied probabilities each. New PMD updates and model runs by May 5 could sharpen resolution criteria based on airport station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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