Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos' highest temperature on April 17, with 34°C edging out at 28% implied probability amid a tight field including 27°C or below and 37°C or higher both at 25.5%, driven by divergent global model runs like GFS and ECMWF showing peaks from 31-36°C depending on cloud cover and sea breeze effects. NiMet's latest bulletins note isolated thunderstorms over Lagos in recent days, including potential on April 15-16, which could cap highs below 30°C through shading and convection, countering a recent hot spell peaking at 35°C on April 10 amid ENSO-neutral conditions favoring typical April averages near 32°C. Urban heat island amplification adds upside risk if skies clear; watch NiMet's April 16 outlook for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
37°C or higher 29%
34°C 27%
31°C 22%
32°C 21%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
27°C or below
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
20%
31°C
22%
32°C
21%
33°C
21%
34°C
27%
35°C
21%
36°C
12%
37°C or higher
29%
37°C or higher 29%
34°C 27%
31°C 22%
32°C 21%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$391 Объем
1%
28°C
$0 Объем
4%
29°C
$0 Объем
10%
30°C
$0 Объем
20%
31°C
$0 Объем
22%
32°C
$0 Объем
21%
33°C
$0 Объем
21%
34°C
$6 Объем
27%
35°C
$0 Объем
21%
36°C
$0 Объем
12%
37°C or higher
$0 Объем
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos' highest temperature on April 17, with 34°C edging out at 28% implied probability amid a tight field including 27°C or below and 37°C or higher both at 25.5%, driven by divergent global model runs like GFS and ECMWF showing peaks from 31-36°C depending on cloud cover and sea breeze effects. NiMet's latest bulletins note isolated thunderstorms over Lagos in recent days, including potential on April 15-16, which could cap highs below 30°C through shading and convection, countering a recent hot spell peaking at 35°C on April 10 amid ENSO-neutral conditions favoring typical April averages near 32°C. Urban heat island amplification adds upside risk if skies clear; watch NiMet's April 16 outlook for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Объем
$352Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos' highest temperature on April 17, with 34°C edging out at 28% implied probability amid a tight field including 27°C or below and 37°C or higher both at 25.5%, driven by divergent global model runs like GFS and ECMWF showing peaks from 31-36°C depending on cloud cover and sea breeze effects. NiMet's latest bulletins note isolated thunderstorms over Lagos in recent days, including potential on April 15-16, which could cap highs below 30°C through shading and convection, countering a recent hot spell peaking at 35°C on April 10 amid ENSO-neutral conditions favoring typical April averages near 32°C. Urban heat island amplification adds upside risk if skies clear; watch NiMet's April 16 outlook for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$352Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos' highest temperature on April 17, with 34°C edging out at 28% implied probability amid a tight field including 27°C or below and 37°C or higher both at 25.5%, driven by divergent global model runs like GFS and ECMWF showing peaks from 31-36°C depending on cloud cover and sea breeze effects. NiMet's latest bulletins note isolated thunderstorms over Lagos in recent days, including potential on April 15-16, which could cap highs below 30°C through shading and convection, countering a recent hot spell peaking at 35°C on April 10 amid ENSO-neutral conditions favoring typical April averages near 32°C. Urban heat island amplification adds upside risk if skies clear; watch NiMet's April 16 outlook for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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