Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) meteorological station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 17, underpinning the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. This peak, likely occurring midday under partly sunny conditions, aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s outlook for sunny spells with later thundery outbreaks in southern Nigeria, which capped heat accumulation via increased cloud cover and humidity. Seasonal norms for mid-April in Lagos show average highs of 32–33°C amid the waning dry season, with sea breezes moderating extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from verified airport records.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$53,144 Объем
$53,144 Объем
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$53,144 Объем
$53,144 Объем
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) meteorological station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 17, underpinning the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. This peak, likely occurring midday under partly sunny conditions, aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s outlook for sunny spells with later thundery outbreaks in southern Nigeria, which capped heat accumulation via increased cloud cover and humidity. Seasonal norms for mid-April in Lagos show average highs of 32–33°C amid the waning dry season, with sea breezes moderating extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from verified airport records.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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