Official measurements from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 27°C or below, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This unusually low reading for late April, when climatological averages hover around 32–33°C, stems from persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and early rainy season onset reported by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), suppressing daytime heating despite typical harmattan haze dissipation. Model forecasts had anticipated 32–34°C, but real-time METAR observations captured the cooler reality. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare instrument recalibrations or data disputes could prompt review; traders await NiMet's final daily summary for closure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лагосе 28 апреля?
27°C или ниже 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$58,827 Объем
$58,827 Объем
27°C или ниже
Да
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C
Нет
34°C
Нет
35°C
Нет
36°C
Нет
37°C или выше
Нет
27°C или ниже 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$58,827 Объем
$58,827 Объем
27°C или ниже
Да
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C
Нет
34°C
Нет
35°C
Нет
36°C
Нет
37°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 26, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Official measurements from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 27°C or below, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This unusually low reading for late April, when climatological averages hover around 32–33°C, stems from persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and early rainy season onset reported by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), suppressing daytime heating despite typical harmattan haze dissipation. Model forecasts had anticipated 32–34°C, but real-time METAR observations captured the cooler reality. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare instrument recalibrations or data disputes could prompt review; traders await NiMet's final daily summary for closure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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