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icon for Самая высокая температура в Лагосе 1 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Лагосе 1 мая?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Лагосе 1 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Лагосе 1 мая?

Ended: мая 1

Ended: мая 1

34°C 100.0%

28°C или ниже <1%

29°C <1%

30°C <1%

Polymarket

$36,982 Объем

34°C 100.0%

28°C или ниже <1%

29°C <1%

30°C <1%

Polymarket

$36,982 Объем

28°C или ниже

$15,274 Объем

Нет

29°C

$959 Объем

Нет

30°C

$1,390 Объем

Нет

31°C

$1,293 Объем

Нет

32°C

$2,091 Объем

Нет

33°C

$1,697 Объем

Нет

34°C

$2,788 Объем

Да

35°C

$3,225 Объем

Нет

36°C

$2,482 Объем

Нет

37°C

$2,785 Объем

Нет

38°C или выше

$2,996 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, reported via METAR at midday on May 1, confirm the highest temperature reached 34°C, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This peak aligns with NiMet's 2026 seasonal climate prediction of warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria in May, amid lingering dry-season heat before the rainy onset, where historical May highs at DNMM average 30-32°C but urban heat island effects in densely built Lagos often elevate readings. Model forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF had anticipated highs near 33°C, with low humidity amplifying heat index values. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions by NiMet if sensor discrepancies emerge across synoptic stations, though verified aviation data provides strong evidential support. Final NiMet daily bulletin expected soon for market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$36,982
Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, reported via METAR at midday on May 1, confirm the highest temperature reached 34°C, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome and near-certainty among traders risking real capital. This peak aligns with NiMet's 2026 seasonal climate prediction of warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria in May, amid lingering dry-season heat before the rainy onset, where historical May highs at DNMM average 30-32°C but urban heat island effects in densely built Lagos often elevate readings. Model forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF had anticipated highs near 33°C, with low humidity amplifying heat index values. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality control revisions by NiMet if sensor discrepancies emerge across synoptic stations, though verified aviation data provides strong evidential support. Final NiMet daily bulletin expected soon for market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$36,982
Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 12:12 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Связанные

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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Лагосе 1 мая?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «34°C» с 100%, за ним следует «28°C или ниже» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Лагосе 1 мая?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $37K с момента запуска рынка Apr 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Лагосе 1 мая?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Лагосе 1 мая?» — «34°C» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «28°C или ниже» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Лагосе 1 мая?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.