**Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and surface stations at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome.** This reading aligns with early May climatology in Lagos, where average highs hover around 32°C amid the rainy season onset, featuring high humidity (typically 80%+), sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea, and partial cloud cover that caps daytime peaks despite warm equatorial conditions. Global models like ECMWF had forecasted 31–33°C ranges pre-event, matching the verified data. Realistic challenges would require a rare NiMet data revision from sensor calibration issues or discrepancies across monitoring sites, though rigorous quality assurance protocols render this highly improbable as final reports solidify.**
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on May 10?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 10?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$41,928 Объем
$41,928 Объем
10 мая 2026 г.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$41,928 Объем
$41,928 Объем
10 мая 2026 г.
27°C or below
$2,954 Объем
No
28°C
$11,512 Объем
No
29°C
$1,786 Объем
No
30°C
$3,647 Объем
No
31°C
$1,625 Объем
No
32°C
$1,993 Объем
No
33°C
$4,582 Объем
Yes
34°C
$4,164 Объем
No
35°C
$2,657 Объем
No
36°C
$4,003 Объем
No
37°C or higher
$3,001 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and surface stations at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome.** This reading aligns with early May climatology in Lagos, where average highs hover around 32°C amid the rainy season onset, featuring high humidity (typically 80%+), sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea, and partial cloud cover that caps daytime peaks despite warm equatorial conditions. Global models like ECMWF had forecasted 31–33°C ranges pre-event, matching the verified data. Realistic challenges would require a rare NiMet data revision from sensor calibration issues or discrepancies across monitoring sites, though rigorous quality assurance protocols render this highly improbable as final reports solidify.**
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 8, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Объем
$41,928Дата окончания
10 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:36 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and surface stations at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome.** This reading aligns with early May climatology in Lagos, where average highs hover around 32°C amid the rainy season onset, featuring high humidity (typically 80%+), sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea, and partial cloud cover that caps daytime peaks despite warm equatorial conditions. Global models like ECMWF had forecasted 31–33°C ranges pre-event, matching the verified data. Realistic challenges would require a rare NiMet data revision from sensor calibration issues or discrepancies across monitoring sites, though rigorous quality assurance protocols render this highly improbable as final reports solidify.**
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$41,928Дата окончания
10 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:36 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and surface stations at Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 33°C on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome.** This reading aligns with early May climatology in Lagos, where average highs hover around 32°C amid the rainy season onset, featuring high humidity (typically 80%+), sea breezes from the Gulf of Guinea, and partial cloud cover that caps daytime peaks despite warm equatorial conditions. Global models like ECMWF had forecasted 31–33°C ranges pre-event, matching the verified data. Realistic challenges would require a rare NiMet data revision from sensor calibration issues or discrepancies across monitoring sites, though rigorous quality assurance protocols render this highly improbable as final reports solidify.**
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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