Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloud cover and possible rain on July 6 moderating Tokyo's maximum temperatures below typical July averages near 29–30°C, with consensus pointing toward highs around 23–25°C. Recent warm-season outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall for summer 2026, yet day-specific guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could suppress peak readings by several degrees. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs and the influence of localized precipitation timing on observed maxima. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as atmospheric conditions evolve.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 6 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 6 июля?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$114,883 Объем
$114,883 Объем
6 июл. 2026 г.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$114,883 Объем
$114,883 Объем
6 июл. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$3,649 Объем
No
20°C
$4,964 Объем
No
21°C
$5,198 Объем
No
22°C
$6,879 Объем
No
23°C
$10,731 Объем
No
24°C
$8,658 Объем
No
25°C
$19,453 Объем
No
26°C
$20,667 Объем
Yes
27°C
$16,830 Объем
No
28°C
$11,535 Объем
No
29°C or higher
$6,319 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloud cover and possible rain on July 6 moderating Tokyo's maximum temperatures below typical July averages near 29–30°C, with consensus pointing toward highs around 23–25°C. Recent warm-season outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall for summer 2026, yet day-specific guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could suppress peak readings by several degrees. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs and the influence of localized precipitation timing on observed maxima. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as atmospheric conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$114,883Дата окончания
6 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloud cover and possible rain on July 6 moderating Tokyo's maximum temperatures below typical July averages near 29–30°C, with consensus pointing toward highs around 23–25°C. Recent warm-season outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall for summer 2026, yet day-specific guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could suppress peak readings by several degrees. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs and the influence of localized precipitation timing on observed maxima. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as atmospheric conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$114,883Дата окончания
6 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloud cover and possible rain on July 6 moderating Tokyo's maximum temperatures below typical July averages near 29–30°C, with consensus pointing toward highs around 23–25°C. Recent warm-season outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall for summer 2026, yet day-specific guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could suppress peak readings by several degrees. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs and the influence of localized precipitation timing on observed maxima. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as atmospheric conditions evolve.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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