Official measurements from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport's METAR observations confirm Lagos reached a highest temperature of exactly 32°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning partly cloudy conditions transitioned to isolated thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and aligning with May climatology—average highs of 31–33°C amid the dry-to-rainy season shift influenced by harmattan residuals and rising humidity. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects authoritative data over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-event revisions if peripheral stations report validated peaks above 32°C before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on May 2?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 2?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$250,809 Объем
$250,809 Объем
2 мая 2026 г.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$250,809 Объем
$250,809 Объем
2 мая 2026 г.
27°C or below
$9,373 Объем
No
28°C
$71,039 Объем
No
29°C
$16,824 Объем
No
30°C
$10,714 Объем
No
31°C
$10,534 Объем
No
32°C
$22,240 Объем
Yes
33°C
$71,402 Объем
No
34°C
$12,180 Объем
No
35°C
$9,053 Объем
No
36°C
$9,263 Объем
No
37°C or higher
$8,188 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport's METAR observations confirm Lagos reached a highest temperature of exactly 32°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning partly cloudy conditions transitioned to isolated thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and aligning with May climatology—average highs of 31–33°C amid the dry-to-rainy season shift influenced by harmattan residuals and rising humidity. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects authoritative data over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-event revisions if peripheral stations report validated peaks above 32°C before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Объем
$250,809Дата окончания
2 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport's METAR observations confirm Lagos reached a highest temperature of exactly 32°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning partly cloudy conditions transitioned to isolated thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and aligning with May climatology—average highs of 31–33°C amid the dry-to-rainy season shift influenced by harmattan residuals and rising humidity. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects authoritative data over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-event revisions if peripheral stations report validated peaks above 32°C before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$250,809Дата окончания
2 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 12:43 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official measurements from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport's METAR observations confirm Lagos reached a highest temperature of exactly 32°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning partly cloudy conditions transitioned to isolated thunderstorms, limiting solar heating and aligning with May climatology—average highs of 31–33°C amid the dry-to-rainy season shift influenced by harmattan residuals and rising humidity. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects authoritative data over preliminary forecasts. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-event revisions if peripheral stations report validated peaks above 32°C before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы