Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET and international models highlight a southward surge of cooler polar air and a passing cold front suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on July 4, shifting the expected maximum well below the month’s 21–22 °C climatological average. This airmass advection, combined with increased low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, creates the narrow spread among leading outcomes near 19–20 °C; small differences in frontal timing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island retention will determine whether boundary-layer warming reaches 20 °C or stalls closer to 18 °C. Ensemble guidance still shows modest spread in the 16–21 °C range, leaving traders focused on the final 24-hour model runs and any rapid changes in steering flow before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 4 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 4 июля?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$72,046 Объем
$72,046 Объем
4 июл. 2026 г.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$72,046 Объем
$72,046 Объем
4 июл. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$2,657 Объем
No
14°C
$1,537 Объем
No
15°C
$1,651 Объем
No
16°C
$4,214 Объем
No
17°C
$8,525 Объем
No
18°C
$8,660 Объем
No
19°C
$8,460 Объем
No
20°C
$5,393 Объем
Yes
21°C
$15,408 Объем
No
22°C
$3,908 Объем
No
23°C or higher
$11,633 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET and international models highlight a southward surge of cooler polar air and a passing cold front suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on July 4, shifting the expected maximum well below the month’s 21–22 °C climatological average. This airmass advection, combined with increased low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, creates the narrow spread among leading outcomes near 19–20 °C; small differences in frontal timing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island retention will determine whether boundary-layer warming reaches 20 °C or stalls closer to 18 °C. Ensemble guidance still shows modest spread in the 16–21 °C range, leaving traders focused on the final 24-hour model runs and any rapid changes in steering flow before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Объем
$72,046Дата окончания
4 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET and international models highlight a southward surge of cooler polar air and a passing cold front suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on July 4, shifting the expected maximum well below the month’s 21–22 °C climatological average. This airmass advection, combined with increased low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, creates the narrow spread among leading outcomes near 19–20 °C; small differences in frontal timing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island retention will determine whether boundary-layer warming reaches 20 °C or stalls closer to 18 °C. Ensemble guidance still shows modest spread in the 16–21 °C range, leaving traders focused on the final 24-hour model runs and any rapid changes in steering flow before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$72,046Дата окончания
4 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent forecasts from agencies including INMET and international models highlight a southward surge of cooler polar air and a passing cold front suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo on July 4, shifting the expected maximum well below the month’s 21–22 °C climatological average. This airmass advection, combined with increased low-level moisture and variable cloud cover, creates the narrow spread among leading outcomes near 19–20 °C; small differences in frontal timing, surface wind speeds, and urban heat-island retention will determine whether boundary-layer warming reaches 20 °C or stalls closer to 18 °C. Ensemble guidance still shows modest spread in the 16–21 °C range, leaving traders focused on the final 24-hour model runs and any rapid changes in steering flow before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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