Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show Warsaw likely reaching a daily maximum between 36–38°C on August 5 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting warm-air advection from the south and mostly clear skies that enhance daytime insolation. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because small differences in predicted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or local wind shifts can alter the precise peak by 1–2°C, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add further variability. Historical August averages near 24°C underscore how anomalous the current pattern is, with resolution depending on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the reference station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 5 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 5 августа?
37°C 29%
36°C 27%
38°C 24%
35°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
17%
36°C
27%
37°C
29%
38°C
24%
39°C
13%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 29%
36°C 27%
38°C 24%
35°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
31°C or below
$50 Объем
<1%
32°C
$0 Объем
2%
33°C
$10 Объем
4%
34°C
$0 Объем
4%
35°C
$8 Объем
17%
36°C
$13 Объем
27%
37°C
$0 Объем
29%
38°C
$0 Объем
24%
39°C
$0 Объем
13%
40°C
$6 Объем
2%
41°C or higher
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show Warsaw likely reaching a daily maximum between 36–38°C on August 5 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting warm-air advection from the south and mostly clear skies that enhance daytime insolation. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because small differences in predicted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or local wind shifts can alter the precise peak by 1–2°C, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add further variability. Historical August averages near 24°C underscore how anomalous the current pattern is, with resolution depending on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$87Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show Warsaw likely reaching a daily maximum between 36–38°C on August 5 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting warm-air advection from the south and mostly clear skies that enhance daytime insolation. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because small differences in predicted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or local wind shifts can alter the precise peak by 1–2°C, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add further variability. Historical August averages near 24°C underscore how anomalous the current pattern is, with resolution depending on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$87Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show Warsaw likely reaching a daily maximum between 36–38°C on August 5 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting warm-air advection from the south and mostly clear skies that enhance daytime insolation. Trader odds cluster tightly around these values because small differences in predicted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or local wind shifts can alter the precise peak by 1–2°C, while urban heat-island effects in the city center add further variability. Historical August averages near 24°C underscore how anomalous the current pattern is, with resolution depending on official Polish Institute of Meteorology observations at the reference station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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