Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on August 5 clustered near 27–29°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling amid urban heat retention and possible thunderstorm activity. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 25–28°C, with short-term variability from cloud cover, wind patterns, and precipitation timing creating tight differentiation among these bins. The closely matched market-implied odds reflect this forecast uncertainty and model spread, with traders weighting official guidance on steering currents and moisture levels ahead of finer-resolution updates expected in the next 48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 5 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 5 августа?
29°C 25%
28°C 23%
27°C 19%
26°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
5%
23°C
11%
24°C
12%
25°C
13%
26°C
15%
27°C
19%
28°C
23%
29°C
25%
30°C
14%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
1%
29°C 25%
28°C 23%
27°C 19%
26°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$0 Объем
5%
23°C
$0 Объем
11%
24°C
$5 Объем
12%
25°C
$0 Объем
13%
26°C
$0 Объем
15%
27°C
$0 Объем
19%
28°C
$0 Объем
23%
29°C
$0 Объем
25%
30°C
$0 Объем
14%
31°C
$15 Объем
1%
32°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on August 5 clustered near 27–29°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling amid urban heat retention and possible thunderstorm activity. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 25–28°C, with short-term variability from cloud cover, wind patterns, and precipitation timing creating tight differentiation among these bins. The closely matched market-implied odds reflect this forecast uncertainty and model spread, with traders weighting official guidance on steering currents and moisture levels ahead of finer-resolution updates expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$20Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on August 5 clustered near 27–29°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling amid urban heat retention and possible thunderstorm activity. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 25–28°C, with short-term variability from cloud cover, wind patterns, and precipitation timing creating tight differentiation among these bins. The closely matched market-implied odds reflect this forecast uncertainty and model spread, with traders weighting official guidance on steering currents and moisture levels ahead of finer-resolution updates expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$20Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on August 5 clustered near 27–29°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling amid urban heat retention and possible thunderstorm activity. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 25–28°C, with short-term variability from cloud cover, wind patterns, and precipitation timing creating tight differentiation among these bins. The closely matched market-implied odds reflect this forecast uncertainty and model spread, with traders weighting official guidance on steering currents and moisture levels ahead of finer-resolution updates expected in the next 48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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