Recent short-term forecasts and model consensus from MetService and international agencies point to a mild winter day in Wellington driven by northerly flow and reduced southerly outbreaks, supporting maximum temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 12–13 °C. NIWA’s June–August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions across the Wellington region, consistent with trader emphasis on 15–17 °C outcomes. Typical August variability, including wind-driven mixing and cloud cover, keeps lower probabilities attached to 14 °C or below, while the narrow spread above 17 °C reflects limited upside potential absent a strong warm advection event. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 3 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 3 августа?
16°C 45%
17°C 28%
15°C 24%
14°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
24%
16°C
45%
17°C
28%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 45%
17°C 28%
15°C 24%
14°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$553 Объем
<1%
11°C
$508 Объем
1%
12°C
$599 Объем
<1%
13°C
$607 Объем
1%
14°C
$866 Объем
4%
15°C
$1,180 Объем
24%
16°C
$1,796 Объем
45%
17°C
$1,511 Объем
28%
18°C
$22 Объем
2%
19°C
$502 Объем
1%
20°C or higher
$5 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts and model consensus from MetService and international agencies point to a mild winter day in Wellington driven by northerly flow and reduced southerly outbreaks, supporting maximum temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 12–13 °C. NIWA’s June–August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions across the Wellington region, consistent with trader emphasis on 15–17 °C outcomes. Typical August variability, including wind-driven mixing and cloud cover, keeps lower probabilities attached to 14 °C or below, while the narrow spread above 17 °C reflects limited upside potential absent a strong warm advection event. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$8,149Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts and model consensus from MetService and international agencies point to a mild winter day in Wellington driven by northerly flow and reduced southerly outbreaks, supporting maximum temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 12–13 °C. NIWA’s June–August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions across the Wellington region, consistent with trader emphasis on 15–17 °C outcomes. Typical August variability, including wind-driven mixing and cloud cover, keeps lower probabilities attached to 14 °C or below, while the narrow spread above 17 °C reflects limited upside potential absent a strong warm advection event. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,149Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts and model consensus from MetService and international agencies point to a mild winter day in Wellington driven by northerly flow and reduced southerly outbreaks, supporting maximum temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 12–13 °C. NIWA’s June–August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions across the Wellington region, consistent with trader emphasis on 15–17 °C outcomes. Typical August variability, including wind-driven mixing and cloud cover, keeps lower probabilities attached to 14 °C or below, while the narrow spread above 17 °C reflects limited upside potential absent a strong warm advection event. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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