Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shenzhen's August 5 maximum near 31–32°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon showers or overcast skies likely limiting peak solar heating and convective development. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 32°C and 33°C, reflecting typical August climatology where daily highs average 30–33°C amid high humidity above 75% and frequent rain that can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Minor model differences in timing of cloud cover or sea-breeze effects explain the tight spread between 31–33°C outcomes, while extremes below 30°C or above 34°C remain low-probability given stable regional pressure patterns and recent precedent of 31°C on August 1. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 5 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 5 августа?
32°C 38%
33°C 31%
31°C 20%
34°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
38%
33°C
31%
34°C
9%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
2%
32°C 38%
33°C 31%
31°C 20%
34°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$5 Объем
1%
28°C
$20 Объем
8%
29°C
$104 Объем
2%
30°C
$5 Объем
6%
31°C
$10 Объем
20%
32°C
$44 Объем
38%
33°C
$15 Объем
31%
34°C
$17 Объем
9%
35°C
$1,214 Объем
4%
36°C
$42 Объем
3%
37°C or higher
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shenzhen's August 5 maximum near 31–32°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon showers or overcast skies likely limiting peak solar heating and convective development. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 32°C and 33°C, reflecting typical August climatology where daily highs average 30–33°C amid high humidity above 75% and frequent rain that can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Minor model differences in timing of cloud cover or sea-breeze effects explain the tight spread between 31–33°C outcomes, while extremes below 30°C or above 34°C remain low-probability given stable regional pressure patterns and recent precedent of 31°C on August 1. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$1,475Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shenzhen's August 5 maximum near 31–32°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon showers or overcast skies likely limiting peak solar heating and convective development. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 32°C and 33°C, reflecting typical August climatology where daily highs average 30–33°C amid high humidity above 75% and frequent rain that can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Minor model differences in timing of cloud cover or sea-breeze effects explain the tight spread between 31–33°C outcomes, while extremes below 30°C or above 34°C remain low-probability given stable regional pressure patterns and recent precedent of 31°C on August 1. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,475Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shenzhen's August 5 maximum near 31–32°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon showers or overcast skies likely limiting peak solar heating and convective development. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 32°C and 33°C, reflecting typical August climatology where daily highs average 30–33°C amid high humidity above 75% and frequent rain that can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Minor model differences in timing of cloud cover or sea-breeze effects explain the tight spread between 31–33°C outcomes, while extremes below 30°C or above 34°C remain low-probability given stable regional pressure patterns and recent precedent of 31°C on August 1. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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