Recent numerical weather prediction outputs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF position a daily maximum near 35–36°C for Madrid on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 36°C (51.5%) and 35°C (33.5%) outcomes. High-pressure dominance and clear skies favor strong daytime solar heating in the central meseta, where August climatology already supports peaks around 32–34°C. Persistent warm anomalies from Spain's record-breaking early summer 2026 add modest upward pressure on temperatures, though model consensus shows limited further intensification. Traders weigh these factors against typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C near event resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?
36°C 52%
35°C 33%
37°C 14%
34°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
31°C or below
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
33%
36°C
52%
37°C
14%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 52%
35°C 33%
37°C 14%
34°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
31°C or below
$0 Объем
1%
32°C
$10 Объем
1%
33°C
$44 Объем
3%
34°C
$66 Объем
7%
35°C
$201 Объем
33%
36°C
$268 Объем
52%
37°C
$111 Объем
14%
38°C
$78 Объем
2%
39°C
$0 Объем
2%
40°C
$27 Объем
1%
41°C or higher
$27 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction outputs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF position a daily maximum near 35–36°C for Madrid on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 36°C (51.5%) and 35°C (33.5%) outcomes. High-pressure dominance and clear skies favor strong daytime solar heating in the central meseta, where August climatology already supports peaks around 32–34°C. Persistent warm anomalies from Spain's record-breaking early summer 2026 add modest upward pressure on temperatures, though model consensus shows limited further intensification. Traders weigh these factors against typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C near event resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$833Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction outputs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF position a daily maximum near 35–36°C for Madrid on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 36°C (51.5%) and 35°C (33.5%) outcomes. High-pressure dominance and clear skies favor strong daytime solar heating in the central meseta, where August climatology already supports peaks around 32–34°C. Persistent warm anomalies from Spain's record-breaking early summer 2026 add modest upward pressure on temperatures, though model consensus shows limited further intensification. Traders weigh these factors against typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C near event resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$833Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction outputs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF position a daily maximum near 35–36°C for Madrid on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 36°C (51.5%) and 35°C (33.5%) outcomes. High-pressure dominance and clear skies favor strong daytime solar heating in the central meseta, where August climatology already supports peaks around 32–34°C. Persistent warm anomalies from Spain's record-breaking early summer 2026 add modest upward pressure on temperatures, though model consensus shows limited further intensification. Traders weigh these factors against typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C near event resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы