**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on May 4?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 4?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$81,305 Объем
$81,305 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$81,305 Объем
$81,305 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
28°C or below
$15,524 Объем
No
29°C
$5,144 Объем
No
30°C
$3,764 Объем
No
31°C
$2,913 Объем
No
32°C
$3,073 Объем
No
33°C
$4,359 Объем
No
34°C
$3,675 Объем
Yes
35°C
$17,138 Объем
No
36°C
$15,458 Объем
No
37°C
$8,021 Объем
No
38°C or higher
$2,238 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Объем
$81,305Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$81,305Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 4 amid sunny skies with patchy clouds and minimal rainfall, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome.** This peak aligns with NiMet's daily outlook for hot, hazy mornings in coastal Nigeria, including Lagos, transitioning to isolated afternoon thunderstorms that tempered further intensification. Warmer-than-average conditions, per NiMet's 2026 seasonal prediction, stem from persistent high-pressure systems and reduced cloud cover, exceeding May climatological highs of 31–32°C. Scenarios challenging this—such as post-verification data revisions from sensor recalibrations or overlooked manual readings—remain improbable absent contradictory evidence from authoritative METAR archives. Traders await final NiMet summary for confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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