Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a weakening high-pressure system over northwest Europe will likely deliver peak temperatures of 28–29°C in London on July 15, with limited further warming expected amid increasing cloud and possible scattered showers. These conditions follow an early-July heatwave that produced 35°C readings but has since moderated under shifting Atlantic flow. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and wind direction, keeping 28°C and 29°C closely matched in trader-implied probabilities while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher thresholds. Updated short-range runs and Met Office briefings through July 14 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 15 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 15 июля?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$176,102 Объем
$176,102 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$176,102 Объем
$176,102 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$4,385 Объем
No
25°C
$15,797 Объем
No
26°C
$26,755 Объем
No
27°C
$37,494 Объем
No
28°C
$31,271 Объем
Yes
29°C
$28,139 Объем
No
30°C
$14,594 Объем
No
31°C
$7,774 Объем
No
32°C
$3,693 Объем
No
33°C
$2,652 Объем
No
34°C or higher
$3,551 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a weakening high-pressure system over northwest Europe will likely deliver peak temperatures of 28–29°C in London on July 15, with limited further warming expected amid increasing cloud and possible scattered showers. These conditions follow an early-July heatwave that produced 35°C readings but has since moderated under shifting Atlantic flow. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and wind direction, keeping 28°C and 29°C closely matched in trader-implied probabilities while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher thresholds. Updated short-range runs and Met Office briefings through July 14 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Объем
$176,102Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a weakening high-pressure system over northwest Europe will likely deliver peak temperatures of 28–29°C in London on July 15, with limited further warming expected amid increasing cloud and possible scattered showers. These conditions follow an early-July heatwave that produced 35°C readings but has since moderated under shifting Atlantic flow. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and wind direction, keeping 28°C and 29°C closely matched in trader-implied probabilities while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher thresholds. Updated short-range runs and Met Office briefings through July 14 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$176,102Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a weakening high-pressure system over northwest Europe will likely deliver peak temperatures of 28–29°C in London on July 15, with limited further warming expected amid increasing cloud and possible scattered showers. These conditions follow an early-July heatwave that produced 35°C readings but has since moderated under shifting Atlantic flow. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and wind direction, keeping 28°C and 29°C closely matched in trader-implied probabilities while assigning lower weight to 30°C or higher thresholds. Updated short-range runs and Met Office briefings through July 14 will refine the final maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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