Recent developments including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across western Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below 34°C according to India Meteorological Department observations and model consensus. These conditions align with an early monsoon surge that increases humidity while limiting solar radiation and surface heat buildup, a pattern consistent with historical June transitions when pre-monsoon activity moderates peaks below long-term averages of 38–40°C. The market’s 100% implied probability for 34°C or below reflects trader assessment of real-time station data and short-range forecasts showing limited potential for rapid warming. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected clearing skies or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation to push readings several degrees higher before the day ends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 13?
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$57,902 Объем
$57,902 Объем
13 июн. 2026 г.
34°C or below
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$57,902 Объем
$57,902 Объем
13 июн. 2026 г.
34°C or below
$17,873 Объем
Yes
35°C
$9,346 Объем
No
36°C
$6,936 Объем
No
37°C
$6,669 Объем
No
38°C
$5,993 Объем
No
39°C
$3,829 Объем
No
40°C
$2,755 Объем
No
41°C
$1,562 Объем
No
42°C
$1,160 Объем
No
43°C
$1,371 Объем
No
44°C or higher
$409 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent developments including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across western Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below 34°C according to India Meteorological Department observations and model consensus. These conditions align with an early monsoon surge that increases humidity while limiting solar radiation and surface heat buildup, a pattern consistent with historical June transitions when pre-monsoon activity moderates peaks below long-term averages of 38–40°C. The market’s 100% implied probability for 34°C or below reflects trader assessment of real-time station data and short-range forecasts showing limited potential for rapid warming. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected clearing skies or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation to push readings several degrees higher before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$57,902Дата окончания
13 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent developments including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across western Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below 34°C according to India Meteorological Department observations and model consensus. These conditions align with an early monsoon surge that increases humidity while limiting solar radiation and surface heat buildup, a pattern consistent with historical June transitions when pre-monsoon activity moderates peaks below long-term averages of 38–40°C. The market’s 100% implied probability for 34°C or below reflects trader assessment of real-time station data and short-range forecasts showing limited potential for rapid warming. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected clearing skies or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation to push readings several degrees higher before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$57,902Дата окончания
13 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Recent developments including widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers across western Uttar Pradesh have suppressed daytime heating in Lucknow, keeping maximum temperatures near or below 34°C according to India Meteorological Department observations and model consensus. These conditions align with an early monsoon surge that increases humidity while limiting solar radiation and surface heat buildup, a pattern consistent with historical June transitions when pre-monsoon activity moderates peaks below long-term averages of 38–40°C. The market’s 100% implied probability for 34°C or below reflects trader assessment of real-time station data and short-range forecasts showing limited potential for rapid warming. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected clearing skies or a temporary monsoon break allowing stronger insolation to push readings several degrees higher before the day ends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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