India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 12?
38°C or below 100.0%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
41°C <1%
$29,431 Объем
$29,431 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
38°C or below
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C or higher
No
38°C or below 100.0%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
41°C <1%
$29,431 Объем
$29,431 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
38°C or below
$4,566 Объем
Yes
39°C
$6,404 Объем
No
40°C
$4,192 Объем
No
41°C
$1,622 Объем
No
42°C
$1,434 Объем
No
43°C
$2,615 Объем
No
44°C
$1,460 Объем
No
45°C
$1,246 Объем
No
46°C
$1,459 Объем
No
47°C
$1,589 Объем
No
48°C or higher
$2,844 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 10, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Объем
$29,431Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 10, 2026, 12:53 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$29,431Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 10, 2026, 12:53 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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