Persistent monsoon rains and thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 26 are the main driver behind trader sentiment favoring 23–25°C highs. Official India Meteorological Department outlooks and multiple models indicate widespread cloud cover, heavy precipitation, and gusty winds that limit daytime heating and evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures below seasonal norms near 28–29°C. Recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh has already lowered temperatures, with similar conditions expected to persist through the weekend. Market-implied odds cluster around 24°C as the most likely outcome, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated IMD and global model runs in the next 48 hours will provide clearer resolution criteria for this weather-dependent market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 26 сентября?
23°C 40%
24°C 29%
25°C 22%
27°C 13%
20°C или ниже
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
40%
24°C
29%
25°C
22%
26°C
11%
27°C
13%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C или выше
2%
23°C 40%
24°C 29%
25°C 22%
27°C 13%
20°C или ниже
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
40%
24°C
29%
25°C
22%
26°C
11%
27°C
13%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Persistent monsoon rains and thunderstorms forecast for Lucknow on September 26 are the main driver behind trader sentiment favoring 23–25°C highs. Official India Meteorological Department outlooks and multiple models indicate widespread cloud cover, heavy precipitation, and gusty winds that limit daytime heating and evaporative cooling, keeping maximum temperatures below seasonal norms near 28–29°C. Recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh has already lowered temperatures, with similar conditions expected to persist through the weekend. Market-implied odds cluster around 24°C as the most likely outcome, reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Updated IMD and global model runs in the next 48 hours will provide clearer resolution criteria for this weather-dependent market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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