Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on May 10?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 10?
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,310 Объем
$141,310 Объем
10 мая 2026 г.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,310 Объем
$141,310 Объем
10 мая 2026 г.
13°C or below
$8,667 Объем
No
14°C
$8,312 Объем
No
15°C
$16,717 Объем
No
16°C
$20,144 Объем
Yes
17°C
$24,122 Объем
No
18°C
$24,782 Объем
No
19°C
$16,454 Объем
No
20°C
$9,679 Объем
No
21°C
$6,666 Объем
No
22°C
$3,470 Объем
No
23°C or higher
$2,298 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$141,310Дата окончания
10 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$141,310Дата окончания
10 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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