Official AEMET measurements recorded a maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 23 at the Retiro station reference point, aligning precisely with the dominant market-implied outcome. This result stems from a warmer-than-average air mass that elevated daytime highs above seasonal norms of around 24–26°C, with model consensus from numerical forecasts supporting peak readings near or at this threshold under partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The 100% trader consensus reflects the completed observational data and minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Revisions to the official record or disputes over station-specific criteria remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution, though historical AEMET protocols make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on May 23?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 23?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,115 Объем
$61,115 Объем
23 мая 2026 г.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,115 Объем
$61,115 Объем
23 мая 2026 г.
28°C or below
$2,981 Объем
No
29°C
$5,215 Объем
No
30°C
$8,843 Объем
No
31°C
$11,605 Объем
No
32°C
$9,119 Объем
Yes
33°C
$8,866 Объем
No
34°C
$6,978 Объем
No
35°C
$2,092 Объем
No
36°C
$1,637 Объем
No
37°C
$1,482 Объем
No
38°C or higher
$2,296 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET measurements recorded a maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 23 at the Retiro station reference point, aligning precisely with the dominant market-implied outcome. This result stems from a warmer-than-average air mass that elevated daytime highs above seasonal norms of around 24–26°C, with model consensus from numerical forecasts supporting peak readings near or at this threshold under partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The 100% trader consensus reflects the completed observational data and minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Revisions to the official record or disputes over station-specific criteria remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution, though historical AEMET protocols make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
Объем
$61,115Дата окончания
23 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET measurements recorded a maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 23 at the Retiro station reference point, aligning precisely with the dominant market-implied outcome. This result stems from a warmer-than-average air mass that elevated daytime highs above seasonal norms of around 24–26°C, with model consensus from numerical forecasts supporting peak readings near or at this threshold under partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The 100% trader consensus reflects the completed observational data and minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Revisions to the official record or disputes over station-specific criteria remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution, though historical AEMET protocols make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$61,115Дата окончания
23 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official AEMET measurements recorded a maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 23 at the Retiro station reference point, aligning precisely with the dominant market-implied outcome. This result stems from a warmer-than-average air mass that elevated daytime highs above seasonal norms of around 24–26°C, with model consensus from numerical forecasts supporting peak readings near or at this threshold under partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The 100% trader consensus reflects the completed observational data and minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Revisions to the official record or disputes over station-specific criteria remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution, though historical AEMET protocols make such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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