Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Manila on April 20?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 20?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$37,348 Объем
$37,348 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$37,348 Объем
$37,348 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$2,953 Объем
No
30°C
$2,816 Объем
No
31°C
$2,971 Объем
No
32°C
$3,171 Объем
No
33°C
$3,905 Объем
No
34°C
$2,498 Объем
No
35°C
$8,241 Объем
Yes
36°C
$3,556 Объем
No
37°C
$3,953 Объем
No
38°C
$2,097 Объем
No
39°C or higher
$1,186 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Объем
$37,348Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$37,348Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 35°C in Manila on April 20, 2026, driven by official observational data from PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City, which recorded a peak air temperature of 35°C during afternoon hours amid persistent easterly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with seasonal norms for Metro Manila's dry hot period, where urban heat island effects and low rainfall elevate daytime highs to 33–36°C, corroborated by automated weather stations showing no exceedance past peak solar heating around 3:00 PM. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day measurement revision from PAGASA's final bulletin or unforecasted clearing boosting insolation, though improbable as nighttime cooling sets in; watch for the agency's end-of-day low-high temperature update.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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