Mexico City's late-May climatology, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, moderate solar insolation at 2,240 meters elevation, and the dry season's limited cloud cover, produces typical daily maxima of 25–27°C according to NOAA and regional model consensus. These conditions place the May 25 high comfortably above the 22°C threshold with minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability. Only an atypical influx of moisture or a transient cold front could suppress temperatures enough to approach lower outcomes, though such disruptions remain rare this time of year and are not indicated in current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 25?
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$311,729 Объем
$311,729 Объем
25 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$311,729 Объем
$311,729 Объем
25 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
$623 Объем
No
13°C
$548 Объем
No
14°C
$540 Объем
No
15°C
$546 Объем
No
16°C
$547 Объем
No
17°C
$492 Объем
No
18°C
$301,012 Объем
No
19°C
$1,586 Объем
No
20°C
$1,947 Объем
No
21°C
$1,547 Объем
No
22°C or higher
$2,340 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico City's late-May climatology, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, moderate solar insolation at 2,240 meters elevation, and the dry season's limited cloud cover, produces typical daily maxima of 25–27°C according to NOAA and regional model consensus. These conditions place the May 25 high comfortably above the 22°C threshold with minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability. Only an atypical influx of moisture or a transient cold front could suppress temperatures enough to approach lower outcomes, though such disruptions remain rare this time of year and are not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$311,729Дата окончания
25 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico City's late-May climatology, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, moderate solar insolation at 2,240 meters elevation, and the dry season's limited cloud cover, produces typical daily maxima of 25–27°C according to NOAA and regional model consensus. These conditions place the May 25 high comfortably above the 22°C threshold with minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability. Only an atypical influx of moisture or a transient cold front could suppress temperatures enough to approach lower outcomes, though such disruptions remain rare this time of year and are not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$311,729Дата окончания
25 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Mexico City's late-May climatology, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, moderate solar insolation at 2,240 meters elevation, and the dry season's limited cloud cover, produces typical daily maxima of 25–27°C according to NOAA and regional model consensus. These conditions place the May 25 high comfortably above the 22°C threshold with minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability. Only an atypical influx of moisture or a transient cold front could suppress temperatures enough to approach lower outcomes, though such disruptions remain rare this time of year and are not indicated in current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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