Official observational data from Mexico City’s Licenciado Benito Juárez International Airport weather station (MMMX) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached exactly 30°C at 12:43 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting maxima of 30–33°C under a persistent anticyclonic circulation fostering clear skies and daytime heating, though cloud cover and urban elevation limited further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 25–27°C, making this peak mildly above baseline amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions from SMN quality controls or auxiliary station discrepancies, but current records solidify the positioning as markets near resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 6?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$48,190 Объем
$48,190 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$48,190 Объем
$48,190 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
25°C or below
$8,533 Объем
No
26°C
$930 Объем
No
27°C
$1,558 Объем
No
28°C
$10,570 Объем
No
29°C
$6,785 Объем
No
30°C
$5,630 Объем
Yes
31°C
$4,420 Объем
No
32°C
$2,160 Объем
No
33°C
$2,762 Объем
No
34°C
$2,887 Объем
No
35°C or higher
$1,955 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Mexico City’s Licenciado Benito Juárez International Airport weather station (MMMX) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached exactly 30°C at 12:43 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting maxima of 30–33°C under a persistent anticyclonic circulation fostering clear skies and daytime heating, though cloud cover and urban elevation limited further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 25–27°C, making this peak mildly above baseline amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions from SMN quality controls or auxiliary station discrepancies, but current records solidify the positioning as markets near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Объем
$48,190Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Mexico City’s Licenciado Benito Juárez International Airport weather station (MMMX) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached exactly 30°C at 12:43 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting maxima of 30–33°C under a persistent anticyclonic circulation fostering clear skies and daytime heating, though cloud cover and urban elevation limited further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 25–27°C, making this peak mildly above baseline amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions from SMN quality controls or auxiliary station discrepancies, but current records solidify the positioning as markets near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$48,190Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observational data from Mexico City’s Licenciado Benito Juárez International Airport weather station (MMMX) confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached exactly 30°C at 12:43 p.m. local time, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting maxima of 30–33°C under a persistent anticyclonic circulation fostering clear skies and daytime heating, though cloud cover and urban elevation limited further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 25–27°C, making this peak mildly above baseline amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-event data revisions from SMN quality controls or auxiliary station discrepancies, but current records solidify the positioning as markets near resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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