Latest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 at 82-83°F, anchoring trader consensus with 37% implied probability for that outcome and 19.5% each for neighboring 80-81°F and 84-85°F bins. A building subtropical ridge over Florida drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while afternoon sea breeze onshore winds—typically 10-15 mph—moderate peaks consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA). Recent KMIA observations hit 81°F on April 13 amid a gradual warm-up from earlier onshore flow, with no disruptive fronts or tropical activity in sight. Ensemble spread of 2-3°F captures uncertainty from possible isolated showers; watch evening model runs and tomorrow's NWS update for shifts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Miami on April 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 16?
82-83°F 49%
80-81°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
4%
82-83°F 49%
80-81°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 12%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Miami's highest temperature on April 16 at 82-83°F, anchoring trader consensus with 37% implied probability for that outcome and 19.5% each for neighboring 80-81°F and 84-85°F bins. A building subtropical ridge over Florida drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, while afternoon sea breeze onshore winds—typically 10-15 mph—moderate peaks consistent with mid-April climatology averaging 82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA). Recent KMIA observations hit 81°F on April 13 amid a gradual warm-up from earlier onshore flow, with no disruptive fronts or tropical activity in sight. Ensemble spread of 2-3°F captures uncertainty from possible isolated showers; watch evening model runs and tomorrow's NWS update for shifts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы