Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Milan's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 27, driven by confirmed observational data from Milano Linate Airport—Italy's official recording station—already surpassing this threshold amid persistent high-pressure ridging over the Mediterranean. This spring heat episode, fueled by a subtropical anticyclone, has delivered highs 6-8°C above the late-April climatological average of 18-20°C, with clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation enabling peak heating by mid-afternoon. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts aligned early, corroborated by ARPA Lombardia updates over the past 48 hours showing no disruptive clouds or fronts. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden marine inflow or station microsite anomaly, but stability through evening favors resolution to 26°C+.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on April 27?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 27?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$88,352 Объем
$88,352 Объем
27 апр. 2026 г.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$88,352 Объем
$88,352 Объем
27 апр. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$1,203 Объем
No
17°C
$1,085 Объем
No
18°C
$1,643 Объем
No
19°C
$1,765 Объем
No
20°C
$1,153 Объем
No
21°C
$2,058 Объем
No
22°C
$1,899 Объем
No
23°C
$13,433 Объем
No
24°C
$6,937 Объем
No
25°C
$27,428 Объем
No
26°C or higher
$29,747 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Milan's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 27, driven by confirmed observational data from Milano Linate Airport—Italy's official recording station—already surpassing this threshold amid persistent high-pressure ridging over the Mediterranean. This spring heat episode, fueled by a subtropical anticyclone, has delivered highs 6-8°C above the late-April climatological average of 18-20°C, with clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation enabling peak heating by mid-afternoon. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts aligned early, corroborated by ARPA Lombardia updates over the past 48 hours showing no disruptive clouds or fronts. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden marine inflow or station microsite anomaly, but stability through evening favors resolution to 26°C+.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 25, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Объем
$88,352Дата окончания
27 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 25, 2026, 12:23 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Milan's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 27, driven by confirmed observational data from Milano Linate Airport—Italy's official recording station—already surpassing this threshold amid persistent high-pressure ridging over the Mediterranean. This spring heat episode, fueled by a subtropical anticyclone, has delivered highs 6-8°C above the late-April climatological average of 18-20°C, with clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation enabling peak heating by mid-afternoon. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts aligned early, corroborated by ARPA Lombardia updates over the past 48 hours showing no disruptive clouds or fronts. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden marine inflow or station microsite anomaly, but stability through evening favors resolution to 26°C+.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$88,352Дата окончания
27 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 25, 2026, 12:23 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Milan's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 27, driven by confirmed observational data from Milano Linate Airport—Italy's official recording station—already surpassing this threshold amid persistent high-pressure ridging over the Mediterranean. This spring heat episode, fueled by a subtropical anticyclone, has delivered highs 6-8°C above the late-April climatological average of 18-20°C, with clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation enabling peak heating by mid-afternoon. ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts aligned early, corroborated by ARPA Lombardia updates over the past 48 hours showing no disruptive clouds or fronts. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden marine inflow or station microsite anomaly, but stability through evening favors resolution to 26°C+.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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