Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italian meteorological services point to maximum temperatures in Milan around 33–36°C on August 4, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting toward 34°C or below. A persistent subtropical anticyclone continues advecting warm air masses northward, sustaining elevated readings across the Po Valley following June's record warmth for western Europe. Ensemble models show limited spread for this short-range period, though slight cooling from Atlantic influences or localized thunderstorms could cap peaks below 35°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the current anomaly, with traders monitoring the next high-resolution model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 4 августа?
34°C или ниже 43%
35°C 30%
36°C 25%
37°C 5%
34°C или ниже
43%
35°C
30%
36°C
25%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C или выше
<1%
34°C или ниже 43%
35°C 30%
36°C 25%
37°C 5%
34°C или ниже
43%
35°C
30%
36°C
25%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Italian meteorological services point to maximum temperatures in Milan around 33–36°C on August 4, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting toward 34°C or below. A persistent subtropical anticyclone continues advecting warm air masses northward, sustaining elevated readings across the Po Valley following June's record warmth for western Europe. Ensemble models show limited spread for this short-range period, though slight cooling from Atlantic influences or localized thunderstorms could cap peaks below 35°C. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the current anomaly, with traders monitoring the next high-resolution model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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